Contents
Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics
Introduction and Reading Guide
1 The Scope of Risk and Uncertainty Considered
2 A Journey Through an Uncertain Reality
3 The Generic Methodological Approach of the Book
4 Book Positioning and Related Literature
5 A Reading Guide Through the Chapters
Chapter 1: Applications and Practices of Modelling, Risk and Uncertainty
1.1 Protection Against Natural Risk
1.2 Engineering Design, Safety and Structural Reliability Analysis (SRA)
1.3 Industrial Safety, System Reliability and Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA)
1.5 Forecast and Time-Based Modelling in Weather, Operations Research, Economics or Finance
1.6 Conclusion: The Scope for Generic Modelling Under Risk and Uncertainty
Chapter 2: A Generic Modelling Framework
2.1 The System Under Uncertainty
2.2 Decisional Quantities and Goals of Modelling Under Risk and Uncertainty
2.3 Modelling Under Uncertainty: Building Separate System and Uncertainty Models
2.4 Modelling Under Uncertainty – The General Case
2.5 Combining Probabilistic and Deterministic Settings
2.6 Computing an Appropriate Risk Measure or Quantity of Interest and Associated Sensitivity Indices
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