Appendix D

Accelerated Lifetime Model

(Source: Franses and Paap [1])

In the estimation of duration models, the log-likelihood function is

(D.1) equation

where img is defined as a 0/1 dummy that is 1 if the observation is not censored and 0 if the observation is censored, and img is a vector of the model parameters consisting of img and the distribution-specific parameters. The log-likelihood function is given by

(D.2) equation

The maximum likelihood (ML) estimator img is the solution of the equation

(D.3) equation

In general, there are no closed-form expressions for this estimator and we have to use numerical optimization algorithms such as Newton–Raphson to maximize the log-likelihood function. The ML estimates can be found by iterating over

(D.4)

until convergence, where and denote the first- and second-order derivatives ...

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