Weak Signals for Strategic Intelligence: Anticipation Tool for Managers

Table of Contents

Introduction

Chapter 1. Concepts, Issues and Hypotheses

1.1. Introduction: governance and radar

1.2. The organization’s environment and its governance through a “storm”

1.3. Anticipation (act of looking forward)

1.4. Anticipative information: two types

1.5. Weak signals

1.6. Detecting weak signals

1.7. Interpreting, amplifying and exploiting weak signals to support strategic decision making

1.8. Puzzle® method for the operationalization of CCM

1.9. Global VASIC process for detecting, recognizing and utilizing weak signals

1.10. Conclusion

Chapter 2. Detecting, Recognizing and Corroborating a Weak Signal: Applications

2.1. Recognition of a weak signal: examples

2.2. Making a new weak signal reliable

2.3. Conclusion

Chapter 3. Utilization of Weak Signals, Collective Creation of Meaning: Applications

3.1. The Roger case: should we fear this new entrant to our industry? (the banking sector)

3.2. The case for “valorizing CO₂ as a commodity”: a preliminary study for the selection of a new strategic direction

3.3. The Danone case. The ministry is worried: are there signs showing that companies will destroy jobs over the next two years? Could Danone leave France?

3.4. The Opel case: initiating collective transversal intelligence to aid strategic decision-making

3.5. Conclusion

Chapter 4. Preparation of Weak Signals for Sessions in Collective Creation of Meaning: Applications

4.1. Introduction: two starting situations

4.2. The Roger case (continued): how are the news briefs ...