17.6. EMPIRICAL MODEL BUILDING AND SEQUENTIAL LEARNING

If you are new to design of experiments and empirical model building, a metaphor may prove helpful. Imagine that you suddenly wake up in a strange wilderness. You don't know where you are, but you'd like to climb to the top of the nearest hill to see if there are any signs of civilization. What would you do?

A first step might be to take a good look around you. Is there anything you should know before starting out? You would probably pay particular attention to things that might be dangerous. If you are in a jungle these might be dangerous animals, quicksand, and other things to avoid. You'd also look for things that could be used for basic survival, such as food, shelter, and clothing. ...

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