2

FINANCIAL MARKETS AND THE BUSINESS CYCLE

Answers

1. D.

2. A.

3. B. Because the speculative positions are being unwound very quickly due to margin calls. However, a sustainable commodity rally does not develop until the economy tightens sufficiently to result in a fundamental increase on the demand side.

4. B. Each cycle has its own characteristics, in that distortions develop in different sectors. For example, in 1970, it was housing; 1973 in the commodity arena; in the mid-1980s in the S&Ls; in 2000, the tech boom; in 2007 housing; and so forth.

5. B. Growth recessions (double cycles) still experience the financial market rotation.

6. B. This is because the long lead time indicates a weak economy in which substantial cost reductions result ...

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