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Stock Trader's Almanac 2010

Book Description

For over 40 years, thousands of market players have turned to the historical patterns found only in the Stock Trader’s Almanac. This is an indispensable, trusted annual resource for traders and investors.

The Stock Trader’s Almanac 2010 is packed with timely insights and targeted analysis to help you navigate turbulent markets and beat the odds in the year ahead. Organized into a calendar format, the trusted guide combines over a century’s worth of data, statistics and trends along with vital analysis you won’t get anywhere else. Stock Trader’s Almanac 2010 highlights include:

  • NEW – How Financial Crises Impact the Market; The Ten Worst Bear Markets Since 1900

  • Dow Jones Industrials Bull and Bear Markets Since 1900

  • The Tenth Year of Decades – Historical perspective on 10th year performance

  • Alerts on seasonal opportunities and dangers

  • Insights on the Midterm Elections Impact on the Market including market charts and trends

  • The Incredible January Barometer (91.2% proven accuracy)

  • Why a 50% Gain in the Dow Is Possible from Its 2010 Low To Its 2011 High

  • Wall Street’s Only Free Lunch Served Before Christmas

Packed with invaluable historical statistics, seasonal trends, cycle analysis, and crucial indicators, this easy-to-use desk reference is a must-have trader’s bible.

Table of Contents

  1. Copyright
  2. INTRODUCTION TO THE forty-THIRD EDITION
  3. NOTABLE EVENTS
  4. 2010 OUTLOOK
  5. 1. THE 2010 STOCK TRADER'S ALMANAC
    1. 1.1. 2010 STRATEGY CALENDAR
    2. 1.2. JANUARY ALMANAC
    3. 1.3. JANUARY'S FIRST FIVE DAYS: AN EARLY WARNING SYSTEM
    4. 1.4. THE INCREDIBLE JANUARY BAROMETER (DEVISED 1972): ONLY FIVE SIGNIFICANT ERRORS IN 59 YEARS
    5. 1.5. JANUARY BAROMETER IN GRAPHIC FORM SINCE 1950
    6. 1.6. HOT JANUARY INDUSTRIES BEAT S&P NEXT 11 MONTHS
    7. 1.7. FEBRUARY ALMANAC
    8. 1.8. 1933 "LAME DUCK" AMENDMENT: REASON JANUARY BAROMETER WORKS
    9. 1.9. THE tenth YEAR OF DECADES
    10. 1.10. MARKET CHARTS OF MIDTERM ELECTION YEARS
    11. 1.11. MARCH ALMANAC
    12. 1.12. MIDTERM ELECTION YEARS: WHERE BOTTOM PICKERS FIND PARADISE
    13. 1.13. PROSPERITY MORE THAN PEACE DETERMINES OUTCOME OF MIDTERM CONGRESSIONAL RACES
    14. 1.14. HOW FINANCIAL CRISES IMPACT THE MARKET: TEN WORST BEAR MARKETS SINCE 1900
    15. 1.15. APRIL ALMANAC
    16. 1.16. THE DECEMBER LOW INDICATOR: A USEFUL PROGNOSTICATING TOOL
    17. 1.17. DOWN JANUARYS: A REMARKABLE RECORD
    18. 1.18. TOP PERFORMING MONTHS PAST 591/3 YEARS: STANDARD & POOR'S 500 AND DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS
    19. 1.19. MAY ALMANAC
    20. 1.20. BEST SIX MONTHS: STILL AN EYE-POPPING STRATEGY
    21. 1.21. MACD-TIMING TRIPLES "BEST SIX MONTHS" RESULTS
    22. 1.22. TAKE ADVANTAGE OF DOWN FRIDAY/DOWN MONDAY WARNING
    23. 1.23. TOP PERFORMING NASDAQ MONTHS PAST 381/3 YEARS
    24. 1.24. JUNE ALMANAC
    25. 1.25. GET MORE OUT OF NASDAQ'S "BEST EIGHT MONTHS" WITH MACD TIMING
    26. 1.26. "BEST SIX MONTHS"+TIMING+"FOUR-YEAR CYCLE" NEARLY TRIPLE RETURNS ON JUST HALF THE TRADES
    27. 1.27. FIRST-TRADING-DAY-OF-THE-MONTH PHENOMENON: DOW GAINS MORE ONE DAY THAN ALL OTHER DAYS
    28. 1.28. JULY ALMANAC
    29. 1.29. 2008 DAILY DOW POINT CHANGES (DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE)
    30. 1.30. DON'T SELL STOCKS ON MONDAY OR FRIDAY
    31. 1.31. A RALLY FOR ALL SEASONS
    32. 1.32. AUGUST ALMANAC
    33. 1.33. FIRST MONTH OF QUARTERS IS THE MOST BULLISH
    34. 1.34. AURA OF THE TRIPLE WITCH—4th QUARTER most BULLISH: DOWN WEEKS TRIGGER MORE WEAKNESS WEEK AFTER
    35. 1.35. WHY A 50% GAIN IN THE DOW IS POSSIBLE FROM ITS 2010 LOW TO ITS 2011 HIGH
      1. 1.35.1. Post-Election High to Midterm Low: −21.4%
    36. 1.36. A CORRECTION FOR ALL SEASONS
    37. 1.37. SEPTEMBER ALMANAC
    38. 1.38. MARKET BEHAVIOR THREE DAYS BEFORE AND THREE DAYS AFTER HOLIDAYS
    39. 1.39. FOURTH QUARTER MARKET MAGIC
    40. 1.40. MARKET GAINS MORE on super-8 DAYS each MONTH THAN ON ALL 13 REMAINING DAYS COMBINED
    41. 1.41. OCTOBER ALMANAC
    42. 1.42. BEST INVESTMENT BOOK OF THE YEAR
    43. 1.43. YEAR'S TOP INVESTMENT BOOKS
    44. 1.44. MIDTERM ELECTION TIME UNUSUALLY BULLISH
    45. 1.45. NOVEMBER ALMANAC
    46. 1.46. TRADING THE THANKSGIVING MARKET
    47. 1.47. MOST OF THE SO-CALLED "JANUARY EFFECT" TAKES PLACE IN THE LAST HALF OF DECEMBER
    48. 1.48. JANUARY EFFECT NOW STARTS IN MID-DECEMBER
    49. 1.49. DECEMBER ALMANAC
    50. 1.50. WALL STREET'S ONLY "FREE LUNCH" SERVED BEFORE CHRISTMAS
    51. 1.51. IF SANTA CLAUS SHOULD FAIL TO CALL, BEARS MAY COME TO BROAD AND WALL
    52. 1.52. SECTOR SEASONALITY: SELECTED PERCENTAGE PLAYS
    53. 1.53. Sector Index Seasonality Strategy Calendar*
    54. 1.54. 2011 STRATEGY CALENDAR
  6. 2. DIRECTORY OF TRADING PATTERNS AND DATABANK
    1. 2.1. DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2010
    2. 2.2. RECENT DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2010
    3. 2.3. S&P 500 MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2010
    4. 2.4. RECENT S&P 500 MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2010
    5. 2.5. NASDAQ COMPOSITE MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2010
    6. 2.6. RECENT NASDAQ COMPOSITE MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2010
    7. 2.7. RUSSELL 1000 INDEX MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2010
    8. 2.8. RUSSELL 2000 INDEX MARKET PROBABILITY CALENDAR 2010
    9. 2.9. DECENNIAL CYCLE: A MARKET PHENOMENON
    10. 2.10. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION/STOCK MARKET CYCLE: THE 176-YEAR SAGA CONTINUES
    11. 2.11. DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS BULL & BEAR MARKETS SINCE 1900
    12. 2.12. STANDARD & POOR'S 500 BULL & BEAR MARKETS SINCE 1929 NASDAQ COMPOSITE SINCE 1971
    13. 2.13. A TYPICAL DAY IN THE MARKET
    14. 2.14. THROUGH THE WEEK ON A HALF-HOURLY BASIS
    15. 2.15. TUESDAY NOW MOST PROFITABLE DAY OF WEEK
    16. 2.16. NASDAQ STRONGEST LAST 3 DAYS OF WEEK
    17. 2.17. S&P DAILY PERFORMANCE EACH YEAR SINCE 1952
    18. 2.18. NASDAQ DAILY PERFORMANCE EACH YEAR SINCE 1971
    19. 2.19. MONTHLY CASH INFLOWS INTO S&P STOCKS
    20. 2.20. MONTHLY CASH INFLOWS INTO NASDAQ STOCKS
    21. 2.21. NOVEMBER, DECEMBER, AND JANUARY: YEAR'S BEST THREE-MONTH SPAN
    22. 2.22. NOVEMBER THROUGH JUNE: NASDAQ'S EIGHT-MONTH RUN
    23. 2.23. DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS, & CLOSES SINCE 1901
    24. 2.24. S&P 500 ANNUALS HIGHS, LOWS, & CLOSES SINCE 1930
    25. 2.25. NASDAQ ANNUAL HIGHS, LOWS, & CLOSES SINCE 1971
    26. 2.26. DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGE SINCE 1950
    27. 2.27. DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MONTHLY POINT CHANGES SINCE 1950
    28. 2.28. DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1950
    29. 2.29. STANDARD & POOR'S 500 MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1950
    30. 2.30. STANDARD & POOR'S 500 MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1950
    31. 2.31. NASDAQ COMPOSITE MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1971
    32. 2.32. NASDAQ COMPOSITE MONTHLY CLOSING PRICES SINCE 1971
    33. 2.33. RUSSELL 1000 INDEX MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1979
    34. 2.34. RUSSELL 2000 INDEX MONTHLY PERCENT CHANGES SINCE 1979
    35. 2.35. 10 BEST DAYS BY PERCENT AND POINT
    36. 2.36. 10 WORST DAYS BY PERCENT AND POINT
    37. 2.37. 10 BEST WEEKS BY PERCENT AND POINT
    38. 2.38. 10 WORST WEEKS BY PERCENT AND POINT
    39. 2.39. 10 BEST MONTHS BY PERCENT AND POINT
    40. 2.40. 10 WORST MONTHS BY PERCENT AND POINT
    41. 2.41. 10 BEST QUARTERS BY PERCENT AND POINT
    42. 2.42. 10 WORST QUARTERS BY PERCENT AND POINT
    43. 2.43. 10 BEST YEARS BY PERCENT AND POINT
    44. 2.44. 10 WORST YEARS BY PERCENT AND POINT
  7. 3. STRATEGY PLANNING AND RECORD SECTION
    1. 3.1. PORTFOLIO AT START OF 2010
    2. 3.2. ADDITIONAL PURCHASES
    3. 3.3. SHORT–TERM TRANSACTIONS
    4. 3.4. LONG–TERM TRANSACTIONS
    5. 3.5. INTEREST/DIVIDENDS RECEIVED DURING 2010
    6. 3.6. WEEKLY INDICATOR DATA 2010 (FIRST HALF)
    7. 3.7. WEEKLY INDICATOR DATA 2010 (SECOND HALF)
    8. 3.8. MONTHLY INDICATOR DATA 2010
    9. 3.9. PORTFOLIO AT END OF 2010
    10. 3.10. IF YOU DON'T PROFIT FROM YOUR INVESTMENT MISTAKES, SOMEONE ELSE WILL
    11. 3.12. INDIVIDUAL RETIREMENT ACCOUNTS: MOST AWESOME INVESTMENT INCENTIVE EVER DEVISED
    12. 3.13. TOP 300 EXCHANGE TRADED FUNDS (As of 4/30/2009)
    13. 3.14. OPTION TRADING CODES
    14. 3.15. G. M. LOEB'S "BATTLE PLAN" FOR INVESTMENT SURVIVAL
    15. 3.16. G. M. LOEB'S INVESTMENT SURVIVAL CHECKLIST