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Statistical Models and Causal Inference by Jasjeet S. Sekhon, David Collier, David A. Freedman

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6Rejoinder to King

With Stephen P. Klein, Michael Ostland, and Michael R. Roberts

        ABSTRACT. King’s “solution” works with some data sets and fails with others. As a theoretical matter, inferring the behavior of subgroups from aggregate data is generally impossible: The relevant parameters are not identifiable. Unfortunately, King’s diagnostics do not discriminate between probable successes and probable failures. Caution would seem to be in order.

6.1  Introduction

        King (1997) proposed a method for ecological inference and made sweeping claims about its validity. According to King, his method provided realistic estimates of uncertainty, with diagnostics capable of detecting failures in assumptions. He also claimed that his method ...

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