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Statistical Models and Causal Inference by Jasjeet S. Sekhon, David Collier, David A. Freedman

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1Issues in the Foundations of Statistics: Probability and Statistical Models

            “Son, no matter how far you travel, or how smart you get, always remember this: Someday, somewhere, a guy is going to show you a nice brand-new deck of cards on which the seal is never broken, and this guy is going to offer to bet you that the jack of spades will jump out of this deck and squirt cider in your ear. But, son, do not bet him, for as sure as you do you are going to get an ear full of cider.”

—Damon Runyon1

        ABSTRACT. After sketching the conflict between objectivists and subjectivists on the foundations of statistics, this chapter discusses an issue facing statisticians of both schools, namely, model validation. Statistical models originate ...

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