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Scenario Planning in Organizations by Thomas J. Chermack

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9 Phase 5— Project Assessment: Documenting Results

Assessing scenario projects is critical. Most texts on scenario planning do not include methods for documenting or assessing the outcomes of scenario planning. Pick up any of the popular scenario planning books, and check the index for assessment, evaluation, or results. I predict that you will not find these entries. The lack of effort invested to understand the outcomes of scenario projects is a serious shortcoming. The dearth of evidence demonstrating that scenario planning is an effective investment makes it difficult to argue for the proposed benefits. Most seasoned practitioners and users of scenario planning know through their own experience that scenarios create value in numerous ways. ...

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