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Scenario Planning in Organizations by Thomas J. Chermack

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7 Phase 3—Scenario Development: Digging Deeper

The scenario development phase consists of workshops used to build scenarios. Most scenario planning books cover the materials presented in this chapter. These activities are the signature of scenario planning. The prior phase on scenario exploration included several tools for assessing the external and internal environments. This follow-up phase digs deeper into both of these environments. The key outcome of scenario development is two to four scenarios that are relevant, plausible, and challenging. During the creation of scenarios, participants challenge each other’s viewpoints and set the foundation for a shared mental model of the organization and its environment.

KEY TERMS AND APPROACHES

Before ...

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