PART ONEFOUNDATIONS OF SCENARIO PLANNING

CHAPTERS

1 Introduction to Performance-Based Scenario Planning

2 Theoretical Foundations of Scenario Planning

3 The Performance-Based Scenario System

4 Scenario Case Study

IF WE LOOK BACK over the history of planning in organizations, we can see a fundamental illusion that is beginning to come to light. The illusion is that planning can function like a machine, that the steps of organizational planning need only be carried out. The basis of that illusion is an assumption that things more or less stay the same. Today, our rhetoric would indicate we have realized our erroneous assumption, but actions indicate otherwise. The world is changing faster than ever, yet many planners and decision makers behave ...

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