Step 1—Choose Your Favored Strategies (Keep It Simple!)

I’ll consider using the following strategies at various times:

StrategyMinimum probability required
Buying or shorting the underlying assetHigh
Straddles or Strangles (Volatility plays)High
CollarsHigh
Covered CallsHigh to very high
Deep in the Money calls or putsVery high
Bull Call and Bull Put spreadsVery high
Bull Put spreadsVery high
Bear Put and Bear Call spreadsVery high

The probability table is just to give you an idea that if I don’t think there’s more than a reasonable chance of success, I won’t place the trade in the first place. For options trades, I require high probability, and the higher the leverage of a trade (for example, Deep in the Money Calls or Puts), the more certainty I require. ...

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