Step 1—Choose Your Favored Strategies (Keep It Simple!)
I’ll consider using the following strategies at various times:
Strategy | Minimum probability required |
---|---|
Buying or shorting the underlying asset | High |
Straddles or Strangles (Volatility plays) | High |
Collars | High |
Covered Calls | High to very high |
Deep in the Money calls or puts | Very high |
Bull Call and Bull Put spreads | Very high |
Bull Put spreads | Very high |
Bear Put and Bear Call spreads | Very high |
The probability table is just to give you an idea that if I don’t think there’s more than a reasonable chance of success, I won’t place the trade in the first place. For options trades, I require high probability, and the higher the leverage of a trade (for example, Deep in the Money Calls or Puts), the more certainty I require. ...
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