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Introduction to Statistical Methods for Biosurveillance by Ronald D. Fricker

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9

Applying the Temporal Methods to Real Data

 . . . the fact that the criterion we happen to use has a fine ancestry of highbrow statistical theorems does not justify its use. Such justification must come from empirical evidence that it works.

Walter A. Shewhart (1891–1967)

This chapter brings together everything from the past eight chapters, demonstrating the application of early event detection (EED) methods for both natural disease detection and bioterrorism detection. In so doing, it highlights that effective detection depends on specifically defining the surveillance purpose. Current biosurveillance system design and practice typically do not do so. However, it does not follow that a system operated for detecting natural diseases will ...

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