CHAPTER 12 The Ultimate Measurement Instrument: Human Judges

  1. D
  2. A
  3. C
  4. False. He found no correlation.
  5. B
  6. A
  7. C
  8. True
  9. C
  10. A
  11. False
  12. E
  13. False. They merely reduce inconsistency error of experts. They are generally inferior to models based on objective historical data.
  14. A
  15. B
  16. E
  17. False
  18. B
  19. A
  20. =ln(0.4/0.6) = -0.405
  21. 50%; in Excel you can write =1/(1/exp(0)+1).

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