Chapter 1

Herding in Middle Eastern Frontier Markets: Are Local and Global Factors Important?

N. Demir
M.N. Solakoglu    Bilkent University, Department of Banking and Finance, Bilkent, Ankara, Turkey

Abstract

In this study we look for sentimental herding in a sample of frontier markets in the Middle East, using a state-space approach. The stock markets we consider are Oman, Bahrain, Qatar, and Kuwait. We use daily data to estimate monthly betas from a market model and test to see whether estimated monthly betas are biased, which would indicate the existence of herding or adverse herding. We also analyze the effect of extreme global and local events, and market conditions, on herding behavior. For extreme global market conditions we use major events ...

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