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Fusion Analysis by V. John Palicka

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10OTHER ECONOMIC CYCLES

There are many cycles to analyze. Some are economic, such as that of French economist Clement Juglar, the already discussed K-Wave, and the Kitchin Cycle, which is discussed in this chapter. In their 1946 book Measuring Business Cycles, Arthur Burns and Wesley Mitchell described an economic cycle as an expansion and contraction of economic activity of one to 10 to 12 years.1 The National Bureau of Economic Research also developed a cycle. Unfortunately, by the time it labeled the recession as ending, it was after the fact and the stock market has already moved up in price, considerably.

Some cycles are caused by changes in the money supply, investments, credit, and in the case of Kitchin, inventory. Again, some feel that ...

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