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Fusion Analysis by V. John Palicka

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2BIG QUESTION: WHERE IS THE MARKET GOING?

At this stage, we should do some fusion analysis on a popular topic: market timing. “Where is the market going?” is one of the most discussed questions by investors. Generally, absolute returns are tied to the correct asset allocation. It is felt that this decision accounts for 75 percent, if not all, of the absolute return picture. The explanation is very simple.

For example, if the market rallies sharply and enters a bull market for several years, the investor will do well by being fully invested in a broad stock index. The returns will naturally be better than being invested in traditional, lower-yielding cash returns, such as money market securities. Conversely, in a broad market decline (or a bear ...

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