Chapter 2
Technology Forecasting
Chapter Summary: Chapter 1 sketched the roles that planning and forecasting play in improving decision making in organizations dealing with significant change. This chapter deals with technology forecasting in more depth. Models of technological growth and diffusion are introduced, and the methodological foundations, including the technology delivery system, are established. A range of related concepts in technology forecasting and impact assessment are introduced. The chapter ends with an overview of forecasting methods and some guidance in selecting among them.
