16 FUTURE TRENDS

Predicting the future has always been a challenging and usually unsuccessful undertaking. In spite of the mountain of evidence that it cannot be done, we will attempt it anyway. First let us look at major trends that affect the fiber optics industry.

1.Increased fiber transparency

2.All-optical networks

3.Multi-terabit transmission

4.Competing technologies

5.Expansion into mass markets

6.Cost reductions

7.Miniaturization

8.New materials

9.Technology refinements

10.New technology

The order of the items is intentional. Depending on the specific product and market considered, the main thrusts in the fiber optics industry today cover in the first four to seven items. Most prognosticators of the future focus on number ten, new technology. ...

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