Trust and Risk

Trust can be difficult to quantify. Do I trust Alice more than Bob? Why? Unfortunately, when evaluating the effectiveness of identity policies, we need to be able to quantify the trustworthiness of a system, method, or technique. Fortunately, we don't ultimately have to measure our trust in a system or approach; rather, we can try to quantify the risk of a particular business process and balance that risk with the expected rewards or returns. Businesses have been analyzing risk for years.

Analyzed in this way, for each business process, we have to be able to give a measure of the risk that the digital identity infrastructure will fail to perform as required for that particular business process. To answer these questions, we need to have a detailed understanding of the systems and processes that make up the digital identity infrastructure, including detailed assessments of the required interactions with partners and their ability to perform as required. Further, we have to quantify the potential losses and their probabilities.

Often, for processes that have been in place for some time, we can use historical measurements to determine the expected level of risk. This assumes that the processes used to manage the digital identity infrastructure include system and outcome monitoring and tracking.

The level of detail available for these analyses will depend on the maturity of our identity infrastructure, a topic we will return to in Chapter 15.

One way to manage risk is with ...

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