Commodity Trader's Almanac 2013: For Active Traders of Futures, Forex, Stocks, Options, and ETFs

DECEMBER ALMANAC

STOCKS AND BONDS

S&P's are prone to year-end buying pressure. Our best seasonal percentage play, which is long the March futures contract from October 25, exits on any strength from the “Santa Claus” rally by December 24 (page 100). 30-year Treasury bond prices are seasonally weak, as we are in a short June futures contract from November 20 and holding through April 28 (page 106).

ENERGY

Cover the short crude oil seasonal best trade from September on or about December 10 (page 82). Natural gas tends to see price declines, especially if inventories have not been worked off due to warmer than expected weather conditions (page 145). Heating oil has a tendency to see a relief rally lasting into the first of January, especially when we have early-month-weakness carried over from November.

METALS

Liquidate the long gold position from November on or about December 4 (page 104). Also, exit any complementary long silver positions that may have been established along side the November gold trade. Copper builds a solid base towards the middle to the end of the month. ...