Notes

1. “IMF Sees U.S. Recovery in late 2009,” Reuters, December 18, 2008. http://ca.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE4BH0ZL20081218.

2. John Kay, “Cracks in the Crystal Ball,” Financial Times, September 29, 1995, quoted in Mark Buchanan, Ubiquity: Why Catastrophes Happen (Three Rivers Press, Random House, 2001), p. 139

3. Toby Poston, “The Legacy of J.K. Galbraith: Analysis,” BBC News, April 30, 2006. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/4960280.stm.

4. “The Market Can Remain Irrational Longer Than You Can Remain Solvent,” Quote Investigator, August 9, 2011. quoteinvestigator.com/2011/08/09/remain-solvent/.

5. Leonard Mlodinow, “The Limits of Control,” New York Times Opinionator, June 15, 2009. http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/06/15/the-limits-of-control/?ref=opinion&apage=1.

6. Marketwatch, “Rogues gallery: From Leeson to Kerviel: Five of the most notorious rogue traders in market history,” Marketwatch, October 5, 2010. http://www.marketwatch.com/story/from-leeson-to-kerviel-rogues-gallery-slide-show-2010-10-05.

7. James Surowiecki, The Wisdom of Crowds (Anchor Books, 2005).

8. Daniel Kahneman, “Don’t Blink: The Hazards of Confidence,” New York Times Magazine, October 19, 2011. www.nytimes.com/2011/10/23/magazine/dont-blink-the-hazards-of-confidence.html?pagewanted=4&_r=2.

9. Leonard Mlodinow, The Drunkard’s Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives (Pantheon, 2008).

10. Thomas Bass, The Predictors: How a Band of Maverick Physicists Used Chaos Theory to Trade Their Way to a Fortune ...

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