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China 2020

Book Description

This book presents eight separate essays and provides the reader with a unique perspective and objective judgement of where China will stand by the end of the current decade. It is suitable reading for foreign policy practitioners, academics and anyone interested in one of the world’s fastest-developing countries. The eight essays cover the following topics: China’s internal politics; China’s military; China’s economy; China’s international image and its international relations; China’s legal development and China’s western regional development plans. China 2020 assesses where these issues stand today and highlights their likely trajectory over the following decade. A unique feature of this book is that it looks in particular at the policy impact, both for China and other countries, and all the most and least likely outcomes for China’s development in these areas.

  • Concentrates on the practical policy impacts and the expected outcomes each of the above areas will have
  • Deals with issues like the opening up of China’s undeveloped western area. A subject with little coverage in other mainstream books on China
  • Takes a short to mid-term view of China’s development, so that the period is highly definable and the contours of what might happen are already clear

Table of Contents

  1. Cover image
  2. Title page
  3. Table of Contents
  4. Copyright
  5. Dedication
  6. Foreword
  7. Preface
  8. Acknowledgements
  9. List of abbreviations
  10. About the authors
  11. Chapter 1: China in 2020: the leadership and the Party
    1. The background
    2. A learning-oriented Marxist party
    3. Intra-Party democracy
    4. The transition
    5. The posts
  12. Chapter 2: China 2020: international relations
    1. The current parameters of China’s foreign policy
    2. A China that can say no but is still unhappy
    3. The elephant in the room: the US will always be number one
    4. The world beyond the US
    5. The two big problems: Taiwan and North Korea
    6. China as an international player by 2020
    7. International China in the coming decade – the two paths
    8. A Beijing model
    9. The key factor: what happens within
  13. Chapter 3: The Chinese economy in the next decade
    1. Forecasting China
    2. The Chinese state
    3. Politics, policy and the state
    4. China and the global economy
    5. The financial sector
    6. Inequality and consumption
    7. Demography
    8. Urbanisation
    9. Conclusion
  14. Chapter 4: China’s military in 2020
    1. Introduction: robust economy
    2. Arms embargoes
    3. Combat experience
    4. Confidence and change
    5. PLA: the armed wing of the Party
    6. The PLA ground forces
    7. The People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF)
    8. The People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN)
    9. The Second Artillery Corps (SAC)
    10. The People’s Armed Police (PAP)
    11. Cyber warfare
    12. Strategic implications
    13. Force projection
    14. Defence in depth
    15. Policy implications
    16. Conclusion
  15. Chapter 5: China’s environment in 2020
    1. Economy
    2. Resource constraints
    3. International climate talks
    4. Energy and renewable power
    5. Waste and pollution
    6. Food
    7. Biodiversity
    8. Politics
  16. Chapter 6: China’s western regions 2020: their national and global implications
    1. What are China’s western regions?
    2. Issues raised by the western regions
    3. Development and Develop the West
    4. Economic growth and human development in the western regions
    5. Western regions in global perspective
    6. Chongqing and Chengdu – growth pole(s) for the western regions?
    7. Prospects to 2020 and policy implications
  17. Chapter 7: China’s rule of law
    1. Chinese and foreigners
    2. Asian values and the law
    3. Development of law in China in modern history
    4. The constitution
    5. Elements of the legal system in China
    6. The judiciary
    7. The legislative system
    8. Law versus the state in China
    9. Human and civil rights
    10. New developments influencing law in China
    11. Chongqing mafia trials
    12. BMW case
    13. Conclusion
    14. Policy approaches
  18. Chapter 8: China’s ‘soft power’ development by 2020
    1. ‘Soft power’ in Chinese discourse
    2. China’s tools of soft power
    3. Beijing’s objectives
    4. The domestic priority
    5. Challenges ahead
    6. Weaknesses in China’s soft power currency
    7. China’s soft power in 2020
    8. Conclusion
  19. Index