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Causality, Probability, and Time by Samantha Kleinberg

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4

Defining Causality

4.1. Preliminaries

The first few chapters of the book reviewed causality (highlighting some primary approaches to reasoning about and inferring it), probability, and logic, so that readers without expertise in these areas could follow the later discussions. The remainder of the book is devoted to developing a new approach that builds on probabilistic causality and temporal logic to infer complex causal relationships from data and explain the occurrence of actual events (called token causality, and the subject of chapter 6). The first task is to determine exactly what causes will be inferred and how these fit in with other theories of causality and causal inference. This chapter will focus on conceptual differences, while ...

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