8.4 The Stein estimator

This section is about an aspect of classical statistics which is related to the aforementioned discussion, but an understanding of it is by no means necessary for developing a knowledge of Bayesian statistics per se. The Bayesian analysis of the hierarchical normal model is continued in Section 8.5.

One of the most puzzling and provocative results in classical statistics in the past half century was Stein’s startling discovery (see Stein, 1956, and James and Stein, 1961) that the ‘obvious’ estimator  of the multivariate normal mean is inadmissible if  . In fact if c is any constant with

Unnumbered Display Equation

then

Unnumbered Display Equation

dominates  . The best value of c is r–2, leading to the James–Stein estimator

Unnumbered Display Equation

Because it may be considered as a weighted mean of  and , it is often called a shrinkage estimator ...

Get Bayesian Statistics: An Introduction, 4th Edition now with the O’Reilly learning platform.

O’Reilly members experience books, live events, courses curated by job role, and more from O’Reilly and nearly 200 top publishers.