The Concept of Fundamental Volatility

Most investors understand technical volatility quite well. It is the tendency for price to trend in predictable or unpredictable ways. A high-volatility stock has greater market risks than a low-volatility stock. For many, trend analysis is the study of technical volatility. However, it is also possible to estimate the likelihood of technical volatility by first determining the status of a few fundamentals, and to draw conclusions about fundamental volatility—and how that level of volatility is likely to be reflected in trend predictability on the technical side.

The meaning of fundamental “volatility” is similar to most forms of trend analysis. A strong fundamental trend will include growing revenues and ...

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