82. People Overestimate Reactions to Future Events
Here’s a thought experiment. On a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 being the lowest and 10 being the highest, rate how happy you are right now. Write that number down. Now imagine that you win the lottery today. You now have more money than you ever thought you would. You have millions and millions of dollars. What do you think your happiness rating would be at the end of today? Write that number down. What do you think your happiness rating will be two years from now, if you win millions and millions in the lottery today?
People are Poor Predictors
In his book, Stumbling on Happiness (2007), Daniel Gilbert discusses the research he and others have conducted on predicting or estimating emotional reactions ...
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