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Influence Diagrams

What Do We Know?

We’ve discussed our problem and put it into context. We now understand our objectives and decisions. It is time to consider uncertainty (although the decision tree does get us started on the uncertainty discussion). A good way to discuss uncertainty is to use a tool called the influence diagram.

An influence diagram is a graphical representation of a problem, which shows (Figure 5.1)

99496.jpg

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Cover of Decision Analysis for Managers

Note

Learn how to create an influence diagram, which graphically represents a decision situation, so that all variables and uncertainties are called out and can be addressed.

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